Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000778 0.000833 0.000891 0.000956 0.001028 0.001106 0.001196
2026-01-04 0.000676 0.000748 0.000827 0.000921 0.001030 0.001154 0.001307
2026-01-11 0.000618 0.000700 0.000794 0.000908 0.001047 0.001211 0.001423
2026-01-18 0.000579 0.000668 0.000772 0.000904 0.001068 0.001270 0.001541
2026-01-25 0.000622 0.000735 0.000872 0.001051 0.001285 0.001587 0.002015
2026-02-01 0.000575 0.000688 0.000827 0.001013 0.001262 0.001590 0.002072
2026-02-08 0.000539 0.000652 0.000793 0.000985 0.001248 0.001604 0.002143
2026-02-15 0.000513 0.000628 0.000772 0.000973 0.001254 0.001643 0.002251
2026-02-22 0.000486 0.000599 0.000744 0.000949 0.001240 0.001654 0.002316
2026-03-01 0.000457 0.000567 0.000711 0.000915 0.001210 0.001636 0.002335
2026-03-08 0.000439 0.000549 0.000694 0.000904 0.001211 0.001664 0.002427
2026-03-15 0.000420 0.000529 0.000673 0.000885 0.001200 0.001673 0.002488
2026-03-22 0.000388 0.000493 0.000632 0.000838 0.001149 0.001625 0.002464
2026-03-29 0.000365 0.000466 0.000603 0.000809 0.001124 0.001615 0.002504
2026-04-05 0.000350 0.000451 0.000588 0.000798 0.001126 0.001649 0.002627
2026-04-12 0.000338 0.000439 0.000578 0.000794 0.001138 0.001700 0.002786
2026-04-19 0.000364 0.000481 0.000649 0.000917 0.001364 0.002140 0.003773
2026-04-26 0.000345 0.000459 0.000622 0.000886 0.001331 0.002117 0.003809
2026-05-03 0.000329 0.000440 0.000601 0.000863 0.001310 0.002115 0.003894
2026-05-10 0.000318 0.000428 0.000588 0.000853 0.001312 0.002154 0.004074
2026-05-17 0.000305 0.000412 0.000570 0.000833 0.001294 0.002154 0.004165
2026-05-24 0.000291 0.000394 0.000547 0.000804 0.001259 0.002117 0.004163
2026-05-31 0.000282 0.000384 0.000536 0.000794 0.001257 0.002148 0.004330